Showing posts with label IHSG. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IHSG. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Mengapa IHSG turun banget?

get shocked when IHSG has decreased so much since 16 of August 2013....

Analis Trust Securities, Reza Priyambada, mengatakan pidato Presiden Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono tentang asumsi makro-ekonomi 2014 tidak memberikan dampak positif pada pasar modal. Dia menilai asumsi makro-ekonomi yang cenderung tidak sesuai dengan kondisi riil malah membuat indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) melorot. "Investor malah cenderung melakukan aksi jual," kata dia, Selasa, 20 Agustus 2013.

Seperti diketahui, dalam pidato nota keuangan yang dibacakan pada 17 Agustus 2013, SBY mengatakan target pertumbuhan ekonomi 2014 mencapai 6,4 persen dengan mengandalkan konsumsi domestik. Inflasi ditargetkan sebesar 4,5 persen. Ini yang dinilai Reza tidak sesuai dengan kondisi riil.

Selain pidato SBY, Reza mengatakan investor ragu dengan pernyataan Menteri Keuangan Chatib Basri yang mengatakan nilai rupiah masih aman karena tidak separah pelemahan mata uang negara berkembang lainnya, seperti rupee India atau dolar Australia. Menurut Reza, pernyataan Chatib membuat pasar bergejolak karena investor menganggap pemerintah tidak melakukan langkah strategis dalam menahan pelemahan rupiah.

Meski begitu, Reza tidak menafikkan adanya faktor eksternal yang melemahkan IHSG. Rencana bank sentral Amerika Serikat (The Federal Reserve) untuk mengurangi stimulus moneter diperkirakan akan membuat kabur dana asing yang parkir di negara berkembang. Walhasil, nilai tukar rupiah diperkirakan terus melemah karena defisit neraca berjalan membengkak dan ujung-ujungnya IHSG terus terkoreksi.

Pada perdagangan hari ini, Selasa, 20 Agustus 2013, IHSG akan berada pada level support 4285-4310 dan resistance4430-4455. Reza mengatakan gejolak IHSG bisa mereda jika pelaku pasar tidak terlalu panik dengan kondisi saat ini. "Terutama ada kecenderungan aksi beli dengan memanfaatkan rendahnya harga saham,” katanya. 

Seperti diketahui, pada perdagangan Senin, 19 Agustus 2013, IHSG ambles 255,14 poin atau 5,58 persen ke level 4.315,52. Pada saat yang bersamaan, nilai tukar rupiah juga sudah mencapai 10.500 per dolar Amerika Serikat sehingga investor terangsang untuk melakukan tekanan jual.

Tuesday, August 09, 2011

IHSG turun banget :(

I can understand how people here have been panic of their portfolios. Indeed the US economic meltdown have so much affected the stocks market here. The IHSG deeply plunges from 4200 into 3600 in just 5 days...The stocks have tumbled since Friday (5/8) after the S7P downgraded the US credit ratings from AAA to AA+...
Asian stocks tumble after Wall Street rout - Yahoo! News

Asian stocks markets were thrown into a tailspin Tuesday as flustered investors fearing a possible global recession continued to flee stocks. Indexes in South Korea and Hong Kong sank about 7 percent.
Oil prices tumbled to their lowest in almost a year to near $76 a barrel on expectations that a slowing global economy could crimp demand for fuel. The dollar was lower against the yen and the euro.
The sell-off, which adds to sharp losses in the past few days, comes after the Dow Jones industrials fell 634.76 points on Monday, the sixth-worst point decline for the Dow in the last 112 years, in response to the Standard and Poor's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating.
Michael McCarthy, chief strategist at Sydney-based stockbroker CMC Markets, attributed the market turbulence to fears that the struggling U.S. economy is quickly losing momentum.
"We're clearly in fear territory," McCarthy said. "The major driver here seems to be weakness in the U.S. economy. There are fears that it's starting to stall and if that's the case, the whole global growth scenario could fall over."
Japan's Nikkei 225 index dived 4.4 percent to 8,694.31 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng plummeted 6.7 percent to 19,110.39.
Japanese export shares continued to capsize on a strengthening yen, which makes products more expensive overseas.
Consumer electronics giants Sony Corp. and Sharp Corp. dropped 4.2 percent and 5.8 percent respectively. The country's powerhouse vehicle makers were also battered. Toyota Motor Corp. lost 4.9 percent, while rival Honda Motor Corp. slid 6 percent. Nissan Motor Corp. sagged 4.8 percent.
Trading on South Korea's Kospi was briefly suspended after sinking sharply — at one point down 8.6 percent to 1,708.91. It later pared losses to a 7 percent fall. Hynix Semiconductor, one of the world's leading memory chip makers, shed 10.1 percent, while Samsung Electronics, the top global manufacturer of flat screen televisions, crumbled 7.6 percent.
Elsewhere, Australia's benchmark S&P/ASX-200 index lost 3.2 percent to 3,856.80. Taiwan's TAIEX dropped 3.4 percent and New Zealand's benchmark NZX 50 index shed 3.9 percent. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite Index lost 1.3 percent to 2,492.83.
Jackson Wong, vice president of Tanrich Securities in Hong Kong, said the sell-off was creating opportunities for sophisticated investors to buy at bargain prices. What was unclear, he said, was when those investments might bear fruit.
"It's still very hard to predict how the U.S. market will do," Wong said. "When the dust settles, if the situation doesn't get worse in the U.S. or Europe, the situation will rebound. But the U.S. has to stabilize."
Worries about the U.S. economic recovery have been building since the government said that economic growth was far weaker in the first half of 2011 than economists expected. Intensifying concerns were reports showing that the manufacturing and services industries barely grew in July, although job growth was better than economists expected last month.
Investors are also worried that Italy and Spain could become the next European countries to have trouble repaying their debts. Greece, Ireland and Portugal have already received bailout loans because of Europe's 21-month-old debt crisis.
The fears have pushed investors to shun Spanish and Italian bonds, which have led to higher yields and in even higher borrowing costs for the two countries.
The European Central Bank stepped in Monday and bought billions of euros worth of their bonds. The move helped to lower yields on Spanish and Italian bonds, at least temporarily.
Benchmark oil for September delivery fell $4.74 to $76.57 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
That is the lowest settlement price of the year for crude, but it's still higher than the $71.63 per barrel low of the past 12 months. Oil hit that on Aug. 24 of last year, when a combination of disappointing economic news and abundant supplies drove down prices. Crude fell $5.57, or 6.4 percent, to settle at $81.31 per barrel on the Nymex on Monday.
In currencies, the dollar weakened to 77.12 yen from 77.70 yen late Monday in New York. The euro rose to $1.4223 from $1.4196.