Financial rules of thumb are just that. If you follow them, you have the satisfaction of knowing that you've taken action — but they do not guarantee you'll get the results you desire. Still, in the savings game guideposts can be especially useful. A near-term target will help you get started, and that's half the battle. Fidelity Investments recently put together an age-based savings guideline with a range of savings goals. It's meant to prod individuals into action, which it might—if, that is, the firm's daunting assumptions don't discourage them first. Here are the guideposts:
Others have tried to divine a finishing multiple of salary that ensures retirement happiness, and generally they are in line with Fidelity's target. Consultants Aon Hewitt set the goal at 11 times final pay (by age 65). What Fidelity ads to the discussion are benchmarks to hit along the way. Having near-term targets helps you stay on track—and to take steps to catch up while time is on your side. But there is nothing easy about hitting these targets. Fidelity assumes:
These assumptions are reasonable in terms of building an illustrative savings model. But consider that almost no one starts saving at 25 and millions suffer some sort of job interruption over a 42-year career. This model also has you saving 12% of pay by age 32. A common rule of thumb is 10% and, again, most folks don't get serious about saving until they are in their 40s and 50s. (MORE: Smart-Phone Parental Controls are Nothing to LOL About) Meanwhile, you will need a healthy slug of stocks to earn 5.5% a year. Yet individuals have been net sellers of stock mutual funds for at least half a decade. Whether Social Security will be available when you retire is an open question. And many peoples' wages are going down—not up by more than the rate of inflation. Of course, it would be a mistake to extrapolate the experience of the crisis years indefinitely into the future. Still, this exercise points up the difficulty of reaching retirement security without an early start, or hyper-aggressive saving at midlife. No matter your age, at least now you can see where you stand–and what to do about it. |
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Monday, October 29, 2012
Fidelity Investments
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